Quick Take: Blow Off Bottom – Bullish Trade

Time Frame: Three To Seven Days.

Underlying Stock: Bullish Market Edge Opinion – No Stock Position.

Desired Stock Price Direction: Up.

Option Position: Short Expiring ATM Put – Long Expiring ATM -2 Put (Bullish Put Credit Spread) & Long Deferred ATM +2 Call.

Maximum Risk: Initial Put Credit Spread minus the Deferred Call Debit.

Summary: The stock performs as anticipated. The short expiring put spread expires worthless and the long deferred call gains additional premium.

Quick Take: Blow Off Top – Bearish Trade

Time Frame: Three To Seven Days.

Underlying Stock: Bearish Market Edge Opinion – No Stock Position.

Desired Stock Price Direction: Down.

Option Position: Short Expiring ATM Call – Long Expiring ATM +2 Call (Bearish Call Credit Spread) & Long Deferred ATM -2 Put.

Maximum Risk: Initial Call Credit Spread minus the Deferred Put Debit.

Summary: The stock performs as anticipated. The short expiring call spread expires worthless and the long deferred put gains additional premium.

Current Blow Off Trades

Market Edge – ‘Market Posture’ Bullish
Blow Off Bottom Horizontal Trade (Bullish)
Open Short Put Long Put Spread Long Call
Open Stock 03/08/19 03/08/19 03/15/19 Long Call Total 100%
Stock Date Price Strike Price Strike Price Credit Strike Price Debit Cost Target
TSLA 03/04/19 $286.42 285.0 282.5 $1.11 275.0 $18.55 $17.44 $34.88
Blow Off Top Horizontal Trade (Bearish)
Open Short Call Long Call Spread Long Put
Open Stock 03/08/19 03/08/19 03/15/19 Long Put Total 100%
Stock Date Price Strike Price Strike Price Credit Strike Price Debit Cost Target
FDX 03/04/19 $184.65 185.0 190.0 $1.44 190.0 $6.35 $4.91 $9.82
BA 03/04/19 $440.00 440.0 442.5 $1.27 445.0 $9.50 $8.23 $16.46
Track Record
Risk Capital—-> $20,000
% Annualized # Of # Of
Win % Loss % P/L P/L Trades Weeks
77.8% 22.2% 13.7% 79.4% 19 9

 

 

 

Results for this week’s trades will be posted over the weekend on the Scoreboard.