Quick Take: Blow Off Bottom – Bullish Trade
Time Frame: Three To Seven Days.
Underlying Stock: Bullish Market Edge Opinion – No Stock Position.
Desired Stock Price Direction: Up.
Option Position: Short Expiring ATM Put – Long Expiring ATM -2 Put (Bullish Put Credit Spread) & Long Deferred ATM +2 Call.
Maximum Risk: Initial Put Credit Spread minus the Deferred Call Debit.
Summary: The stock performs as anticipated. The short expiring put spread expires worthless and the long deferred call gains additional premium.
Quick Take: Blow Off Top – Bearish Trade
Time Frame: Three To Seven Days.
Underlying Stock: Bearish Market Edge Opinion – No Stock Position.
Desired Stock Price Direction: Down.
Option Position: Short Expiring ATM Call – Long Expiring ATM +2 Call (Bearish Call Credit Spread) & Long Deferred ATM -2 Put.
Maximum Risk: Initial Call Credit Spread minus the Deferred Put Debit.
Summary: The stock performs as anticipated. The short expiring call spread expires worthless and the long deferred put gains additional premium.
Current Blow Off Trades
| Market Edge – ‘Market Posture’ | Bullish | ||||||||
| Blow Off Bottom Horizontal Trade (Bullish) | |||||||||
| Open | Short Put | Long Put | Long Call | ||||||
| Open | Stock | 03/22/19 | 03/22/19 | Spread | 03/29/19 | Long Call | Total | 100% | |
| Stock | Date | Price | Strike Price | Strike Price | Credit | Strike Price | Debit | Cost | Target |
| NONE | 03/19/19 | $0.00 | 0.0 | 0.0 | $0.00 | 0.0 | $0.00 | $0.00 | $0.00 |
| Blow Off Top Horizontal Trade (Bearish) | |||||||||
| Open | Short Call | Long Call | Long Put | ||||||
| Open | Stock | 03/22/19 | 03/22/19 | Spread | 03/29/19 | Long Put | Total | 100% | |
| Stock | Date | Price | Strike Price | Strike Price | Credit | Strike Price | Debit | Cost | Target |
| LOW | 03/19/19 | $103.50 | 104.0 | 106.0 | $0.57 | 107.0 | $3.70 | $3.13 | $6.26 |
| XOM | 03/19/19 | $81.64 | 81.5 | 83.5 | $0.58 | 85.0 | $3.41 | $2.83 | $5.66 |
| Track Record | |||||||||
| Risk Capital—-> | $20,000 | ||||||||
| % | Annualized | # Of | # Of | ||||||
| Win % | Loss % | P/L | P/L | Trades | Weeks | ||||
| 69.6% | 30.4% | 18.2% | 86.1% | 24 | 11 | ||||
Results for this week’s trades will be posted over the weekend on the Scoreboard.