Quick Take: Blow Off Bottom – Bullish Trade

Time Frame: Three To Seven Days.

Underlying Stock: Bullish Market Edge Opinion – No Stock Position.

Desired Stock Price Direction: Up.

Option Position: Short Expiring ATM Put – Long Expiring ATM -2 Put (Bullish Put Credit Spread) & Long Deferred ATM +2 Call.

Maximum Risk: Initial Put Credit Spread minus the Deferred Call Debit.

Summary: The stock performs as anticipated. The short expiring put spread expires worthless and the long deferred call gains additional premium.

Quick Take: Blow Off Top – Bearish Trade

Time Frame: Three To Seven Days.

Underlying Stock: Bearish Market Edge Opinion – No Stock Position.

Desired Stock Price Direction: Down.

Option Position: Short Expiring ATM Call – Long Expiring ATM +2 Call (Bearish Call Credit Spread) & Long Deferred ATM -2 Put.

Maximum Risk: Initial Call Credit Spread minus the Deferred Put Debit.

Summary: The stock performs as anticipated. The short expiring call spread expires worthless and the long deferred put gains additional premium.

Current Blow Off Trades

Market Edge – ‘Market Posture’ Bullish
Blow Off Bottom Horizontal Trade (Bullish)
Open Short Put Long Put Long Call
Open Stock 05/10/19 05/10/19 Spread 05/17/19 Long Call Total 100%
Stock Date Price Strike Price Strike Price Credit Strike Price Debit Cost Target
BIDU 05/07/19 $161.90 162.5 160.0 $1.15 157.5 $7.73 $6.58 $13.16
NVDA 05/08/19 $175.19 175.0 172.5 $1.04 172.5 $9.83 $8.79 $17.58
Blow Off Top Horizontal Trade (Bearish)
Open Short Call Long Call Long Put
Open Stock 05/10/19 05/10/19 Spread 05/17/19 Long Put Total 100%
Stock Date Price Strike Price Strike Price Credit Strike Price Debit Cost Target
NONE 05/06/19 $0.00 0.0 0.0 $0.00 0.0 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
$0.00 $0.00
Track Record
Risk Capital—-> $20,000
% Annualized # Of # Of
Win % Loss % P/L P/L Trades Weeks
64.3% 35.7% 25.6% 78.3% 43 17

 

Results for this week’s trades will be posted over the weekend on the Scoreboard.