Quick Take: The SPY Bullish Power Play Trade

Time Frame: Three Days.

Underlying Index – SPY: Bullish Market Edge Opinion – No Stock Position.

Desired Price Direction: Up.

Option Position: Long Deferred ATM -1or -2 Call – Short Expiring ATM +1 or +2 Call.

Maximum Risk: Initial debit spread amount.

Summary: The index (SPY) performs as anticipated. The premium (air) is the short expiring call goes to zero while the long deferred call gains additional premium.

What Can Happen At Expiration And What Action Should I Take?

  1.  If Stock Closes At Or Below The Short Call Strike Price.                                   Close The Spread (Possible Loss)
  2. If Stock Closes Above The Short Call Strike Price.                                             Close The Spread (Profit)

Quick Take: The SPY Bearish Power Play Trade

Time Frame: Three Days.

Underlying Index – (SPY): Bearish Market Edge Opinion – No Stock Position.

Desired Price Direction: Down.

Option Position: Long Deferred ATM +1 or +2 Put – Short Expiring ATM -1 or -2 Put.

Maximum Risk: Initial debit spread amount.

Summary: The index (SPY) performs as anticipated. The premium (air) in the short expiring put goes to zero while the long deferred put gains additional premium.

What Can Happen At Expiration And What Action Should I Take?

  1.  If Stock Closes At Or Above The Short Put Strike Price.                                   Close The Spread (Possible Loss)
  2.  If Stock Closes Below The Short Put Strike Price.                                             Close The Spread  (Profit)

 

This Week’s Spy Power Play Trades

SPY Power Plays, if any are posted on Monday and Wednesday around 11:00 AM EST

Market Edge ‘Market Posture’ Neutral
Bullish – SPY Horizontal Trade Risk Capital: $3,500
Market Open Short Long Open 100% % %
Open Edge SPY 03/02/22 03/04/22 Debit Spread Max Dollar Risk Capital Probability
Symbol Date Opinion Price Wednesday’s Call Friday’s Call Spread Target Risk Max Risk Of Profit
NONE 02/28/22 Bullish
Bearish – SPY Horizontal Trade
Market Open Short Long Open 100% % %
Open Edge SPY 03/02/22 03/04/22 Debit Spread Max Dollar Risk Capital Probability
Symbol Date Opinion Price Wednesday’s Put Friday’s Put Spread Target Risk Max Risk Of Profit
SPY 02/28/22 Bearish $433.38 431.0 435.0 $2.66 $5.32 $2.66 7.6% 63.4%
% Probability Of Profit: The % of returning at least $0.01 at the time of expiry.  This figure is derived from 30 day Implied Volatility.

Results for this week’s trades will be posted over the weekend on the Scoreboard. 

The information contained herein has been carefully compiled from sources believed to be reliable, but its accuracy is not guaranteed.  Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Traders should read The Option Disclosure Statement before trading options. No representation is made that any account is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Due to the possibility of human and/or mechanical error by The Optionomics Group LLC, Inc., its sources or others does not guarantee the accuracy, completion or availability of any information contained herein and is not responsible for any errors or omissions or for results obtained from the use of such information.