Quick Take: Blow Off Bottom – Bullish Trade

Time Frame: Three To Seven Days.

Underlying Stock: Bullish Market Edge Opinion – No Position.

Desired Stock Price Direction: Up.

Option Position: Short Expiring ATM Put – Long Expiring ATM -2 Put (Credit Spread) & Long Deferred ATM +2 Call.

Desired Result: The stock performs as anticipated. The short expiring put credit spread expires worthless and the long call gains additional premium.

Maximum Risk: Initial Put Credit Spread minus the Deferred Call Debit.

Quick Take: Blow Off Top – Bearish Trade

Time Frame: Three To Seven Days.

Underlying Stock: Bearish Market Edge Opinion – No Position.

Desired Stock Price Direction: Down.

Option Position: Short Expiring ATM Call – Long Expiring ATM +2 Call (Credit Spread) & Long Deferred ATM -2 Put.

Desired Result: The stock performs as anticipated. The short expiring call credit spread expires worthless and the long put gains additional premium.

Maximum Risk: Initial Call Credit Spread minus the Deferred Put Debit.

Current Blow Off Trades

Market Edge – ‘Market Posture’ Bullish
Blow Off Top Horizontal Trade (Bearish)
Open *Short-Exp *Long-Exp Call  Long-Def Deferred
Open Stock ATM Call ATM +2 Call Spread ATM -2 Put Put Max
Stock Date Price Strike Price Strike Price Credit Strike Price Debit Loss
MCD 09/26/18 $166.37 165.0 167.5 $1.43 165.0 $0.92 -$1.99
*  Next to symbol indicates that the stock selection is in its second week so the defered call or put is the same.
** Selections are made on Monday, Tuesday & Wednesday and have spreads with Friday’s expiration.

 

Results For Previous Blow-Off Trades

The results for this week will be posted over the upcoming weekend.