Quick Take: Blow Off Bottom – Bullish Trade

Time Frame: Three To Seven Days.

Underlying Stock: Bullish Market Edge Opinion – No Stock Position.

Desired Stock Price Direction: Up.

Option Position: Short Expiring ATM Put – Long Expiring ATM -2 Put (Bullish Put Credit Spread) & Long Deferred ATM +2 Call.

Maximum Risk: Initial Put Credit Spread minus the Deferred Call Debit.

Summary: The stock performs as anticipated. The short expiring put spread expires worthless and the long deferred call gains additional premium.

Quick Take: Blow Off Top – Bearish Trade

Time Frame: Three To Seven Days.

Underlying Stock: Bearish Market Edge Opinion – No Stock Position.

Desired Stock Price Direction: Down.

Option Position: Short Expiring ATM Call – Long Expiring ATM +2 Call (Bearish Call Credit Spread) & Long Deferred ATM -2 Put.

Maximum Risk: Initial Call Credit Spread minus the Deferred Put Debit.

Summary: The stock performs as anticipated. The short expiring call spread expires worthless and the long deferred put gains additional premium.

Current Blow Off Trades

Market Edge – ‘Market Posture’ Bullish
Blow Off Bottom Horizontal Trade (Bullish)
Open Short Put Long Put Spread Long Call
Open Stock 02/22/19 02/22/19 03/01/19 Long Call Total 100%
Stock Date Price Strike Price Strike Price Credit Strike Price Debit Cost Target
NONE 02/18/19 $0.00 $0.00
$0.00 $0.00
Blow Off Top Horizontal Trade (Bearish)
Open Short Call Long Call Spread Long Put
Open Stock 02/22/19 02/22/19 03/01/19 Long Put Total 100%
Stock Date Price Strike Price Strike Price Credit Strike Price Debit Cost Target
JNJ 02/18/19 $136.16 136.0 138.0 $0.81 138.0 $3.10 $2.29 $4.58
V 02/20/19 $144.26 144.0 146.0 $0.82 146.0 $2.41 $1.59 $3.18
JPM 02/20/19 $105.27 105.0 107.0 $0.74 108.0 $3.03 $2.29 $4.58
Track Record
Risk Capital—-> $20,000
% Annualized # Of # Of
Win % Loss % P/L P/L Trades Weeks
83.3% 16.7% 10.4% 89.8% 13 6

 

Results for this week’s trades will be posted over the weekend on the Scoreboard.