Quick Take: Blow Off Bottom – Bullish Trade

Time Frame: Three To Seven Days.

Underlying Stock: Bullish Market Edge Opinion – No Stock Position.

Desired Stock Price Direction: Up.

Option Position: Short Expiring ATM Put – Long Expiring ATM -2 Put (Bullish Put Credit Spread) & Long Deferred ATM +2 Call.

Maximum Risk: Initial Put Credit Spread minus the Deferred Call Debit.

Summary: The stock performs as anticipated. The short expiring put spread expires worthless and the long deferred call gains additional premium.

Quick Take: Blow Off Top – Bearish Trade

Time Frame: Three To Seven Days.

Underlying Stock: Bearish Market Edge Opinion – No Stock Position.

Desired Stock Price Direction: Down.

Option Position: Short Expiring ATM Call – Long Expiring ATM +2 Call (Bearish Call Credit Spread) & Long Deferred ATM -2 Put.

Maximum Risk: Initial Call Credit Spread minus the Deferred Put Debit.

Summary: The stock performs as anticipated. The short expiring call spread expires worthless and the long deferred put gains additional premium.

Current Blow Off Trades

Market Edge – ‘Market Posture’ Bullish
Blow Off Bottom Horizontal Trade (Bullish)
Open Short Put Long Put Long Call
Open Stock 03/15/19 03/15/19 Spread 03/22/19 Long Call Total 100%
Stock Date Price Strike Price Strike Price Credit Strike Price Debit Cost Target
NONE $0.00 $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Blow Off Top Horizontal Trade (Bearish)
Open Short Call Long Call Long Put
Open Stock 03/15/19 03/15/19 Spread 03/22/19 Long Put Total 100%
Stock Date Price Strike Price Strike Price Credit Strike Price Debit Cost Target
AAPL 03/13/19 $181.60 180.0 182.5 $1.40 185.0 $4.43 $3.03 $6.06
SPY 03/13/19 $280.97 280.0 282.5 $1.06 283.0 $3.64 $2.58 $5.16
Track Record
Risk Capital—-> $20,000
% Annualized # Of # Of
Win % Loss % P/L P/L Trades Weeks
76.2% 23.8% 20.3% 105.6% 22 10

 

 

 

Results for this week’s trades will be posted over the weekend on the Scoreboard.